Pump.fun Price Prediction: PUMP Price Forecast Pre-TGE

Pump.fun has just successfully completed its ICO presale with great success and is preparing for listing on spot exchanges. It is one of the most anticipated launches on Solana this month.

With a fixed ICO price and a high FDV, many are wondering: What will PUMP’s market price be? How will PUMP’s price evolve? Read on for details.

The Growth of Pump.fun

Pump.fun is a rapidly growing meme coin launch platform on the Solana blockchain. It lets anyone create and trade tokens instantly, without any coding skills.

Its user-friendly interface, low fees, and quick token creation process appeal to retail investors and crypto enthusiasts looking for fast, speculative opportunities.

What sets Pump.fun apart is its emphasis on community. Beyond token launches, it acts as a social hub where users connect, collaborate, and share ideas. This community-driven culture fuels creativity, humor, and momentum in the memecoin ecosystem.

Launched in early 2024, Pump.fun quickly became a standout success. Today, it handles most memecoin deployments and trading on Solana, generating substantial revenue for the network.

Daily Pump.fun revenue – Source: DefiLlama

According to data from DefiLlama, the platform’s daily revenue reached a peak of over $7 million on January 23, though it has since stabilized to approximately $1 million per day. 

Source: Dune

Based on the Dune’s dashboard, Pump.fun has generated over $723 million in fees (USD equivalent) over the past 365 days, reflecting its explosive growth and user activity.

This revenue is primarily derived from token launches, as users pay small fees in Solana (SOL) to deploy new coins, resulting in a total of over 4 million SOL in fees collected.

The platform’s low-cost, one-click token creation model (under $2 to launch a coin) has fueled massive daily volume and positioned Pump.fun as one of the most profitable and active protocols in the Solana ecosystem.

Source: X

Pump.fun reached $100 M, $300 M, and $500 M in revenue faster than any other platform. This pace reflects a steady stream of viral memecoin launches and high trading volume.

For more: Pump fun Deep Dive: Solana’s Meme Coins Launchpad, and PUMP Coin

Pump.fun Tokenomics

​​PUMP Token Distribution

PUMP Token Distribution – Source: Pump.fun

According to Pump.fun, PUMP will have a maximum supply of 1,000,000,000,000 and will be distributed as follows:

• ICO Sale (33%)
• Community & Ecosystem Initiatives (24%)
• Team (20%)
• Existing Investors (13%)
• Liquidity & Exchanges (2.6%)
• Ecosystem Fund (2.4%)
• Foundation (2%)
• Livestreaming (3%)

PUMP Token lock-up schedule – Source: Pump.fun

At the Token Generation Event (TGE) in July 2025, tokens for the ICO Sale, Liquidity & Exchanges, Foundation, Livestreaming, and Ecosystem Fund will be fully unlocked.

The Community & Ecosystem Initiatives allocation will vest linearly over 12 months, from July 2025 to July 2026. Team and Existing Investors allocations are fully locked for the first year, then released gradually over five years.

Lack of Utility 

PUMP runs the risk of becoming just another speculative token if it lacks real utility or a transparent vesting schedule. In that case, retail users could end up being exit liquidity for insiders or early participants. A strong brand alone isn’t enough to hold long-term value especially in a market that often chases short-lived hype cycles.

According to official information, PUMP isn’t a gas token, doesn’t offer governance rights, and isn’t tied to any specific protocol mechanism. Instead, it’s positioned more like a meme—a way for users to support Pump.fun, engage with others, and be part of an unfolding storyline.

And that’s perfectly fine—as long as users understand what they’re getting into: a narrative-driven token with limited structural backing, centered on community and culture rather than core utility.

PUMP’s ICO Details

On July 12, 2025, Pump.fun held a public ICO for its PUMP token, selling 125 billion tokens (12.5% of the total 1 trillion supply) at a fixed price of $0.004 per token on six exchanges (Bybit, Kraken, KuCoin, Bitget, Gate, MEXC) and its on-chain platform.

Source: Icodrops

Although the sale was planned to last three days, the tokens sold out within just 12 minutes, raising $500 million and becoming the third-largest ICO in crypto history. Including the private sale (~$700 million), the total funds raised reached $1.2 billion.

Source: Pump.fun

Notably, all tokens sold will be fully unlocked for trading within 48–72 hours, pushing the circulating supply to 55% of the total supply, significantly higher than most ICO projects, ensuring strong liquidity from the start.

On-chain data shows $448.5 million worth of tokens were sold through the website, with 10,145 wallets participating out of 23,959 KYC-approved users, representing a 42.3% buy rate and an average purchase of $44,000 per wallet. Purchases varied widely, from under $1,000 to over $1 million.

Source: Dune

An additional $51.5 million was sold through the six centralized exchanges, with 44% of purchases coming from wallets funded within the previous 24 hours.

For more: Pump.fun to Launch Token & Airdrop, Targets $1B Raise at $4B Valuation

PUMP’s Pre-market

PUMP futures contracts were already available on several derivatives platforms like Hyperliquid, Coinbase International, Binance, and Phantom before the ICO.

Right after the ICO launch, pre-market prices jumped from $0.0052 to $0.0072, currently trading around $0.0059—47% higher than the public sale price.

Source: hyperliquid

24-hour perpetual volumes are impressive:

The sharp price increase and strong leveraged volume show how heated the speculation remains, even before the token is officially unlocked for trading.

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PUMP Price Prediction

Market Context

Bitcoin’s repeated push to new highs in recent days has significantly boosted market sentiment. According to the latest data from Alternative, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index is sitting at 79, firmly in the “Extreme Greed” territory.

However, even though the market has become less sensitive to macroeconomic news, the overall economic environment still isn’t favorable enough to support a sustained and strong inflow of capital into altcoins.

Source: alternative.me

Solana Context

PUMP’s launch comes at a time when the Solana ecosystem is clearly losing momentum. Despite the positive news regarding Solana’s ETF earlier in Q2, SOL’s price couldn’t sustain its rally, quickly returning to accumulation mode and losing substantial ground compared to Ethereum. 

Source: Tradingview

Specifically, data from analytics platform Messari shows memecoin transaction volume on the Solana network has dropped by over 60% in Q2 2025 alone, causing a severe reduction in liquidity and community confidence.

Even major Solana influencers such as “SOL Big Brain” or “FrankDeGods” have notably decreased their online activity and community engagement. 

Against this backdrop, the introduction of a token like PUMP without a clear roadmap, tangible utility, or a transparent governance model has sparked significant debate across social platforms.

Pump.fun and Competitors

Competitors Across Blockchains

Some Pump.fun competitors across various blockchains:

• Tron: SunPump – First fair launch platform for meme coins on TRON, low-cost.
• Base: Clanker, Flaunch, Zora, WOW
• Solana: Raydium, LetsBonk, Believe, Moonshot, Make Now – Key Pump.fun competitors. Raydium and LetsBonk use existing DEXs. Believe supports “tweet-to-token” launches and has a strong community. Moonshot (by DEX Screener) emphasizes security and audits.
• BNB: four.meme, Moonshot – four.meme mirrors Pump.fun’s model on BNB Chain with fair launches and low fees.

Pump.fun once stood out as the leading fair launch platform for meme coins, dominating in both user count and revenue.

According to Defillama data, at its peak in January 2025, Pump.fun was averaging more than $1 million daily in revenue, significantly outpacing its competitors.

However, from late January onwards, the platform has seen a noticeable decline, with weekly revenues and transaction fees dropping by more than 40% compared to its peak.

Source: Defillama

Rising Competition from LetsBonk

Adding to this challenge, a new competitor LetsBonk, has quickly gained ground, intensifying competitive pressure.

Data from Dune Analytics indicates LetsBonk has recently surpassed Pump.fun in Daily Tokens Deployed. BONK, currently boasts a fully diluted valuation (FDV) of approximately $1.94 billion, highlighting the community’s growing confidence and interest in this platform.

Source: Dune

These indicators clearly signal a turning point for Pump.fun, forcing its team to identify new strategies if they hope to maintain their leading position.

Built as a Meme: No Staking, No Utility, No Yield

The token doesn’t offer staking, has no real utility, and doesn’t include any fee-sharing mechanism for holders — it’s built as a meme token, by design. In the short term, it’s fair to compare it with top meme coins like PEPE, DOGE, SHIB, or PNUT

Source: Coingeko

PUMP.fun Price Prediction – An Exit Liquidity Plan?

According to information provided by Pump.fun, about 55% of the total PUMP token supply will be unlocked immediately at the TGE scheduled for July 2025.

Notably, a significant portion around 40% of the circulating tokens after TGE, will belong to the development team. Given the ICO fixed price of $0.004/token (33% of the total supply), the team could control tokens valued around $1.3 billion (based on FDV).

This heavy concentration of tokens, combined with immediate liquidity, raises concerns that the team could influence the market price early on. 

If strategically utilized, the price might rise to the $0.008–$0.01 range, potentially pushing the project’s Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) to around $8–10 billion. Especially if listings on prominent exchanges like Binance, OKX, or Bybit follow closely.

And this kind of concentrated push around the TGE may be a deliberate move to drive the FDV as high as possible, cashing out while the market is still caught up in the “fomo.”

Several red flags have clearly emerged:

• Extremely high internal token allocation without clear lock-up commitments, reminiscent of projects like SCR and ZK suffered sharp price declines after listing.
• No hard utility such as buybacks, governance rights, or connection to actual protocol activity.
• History of significant token dumps damaging community trust: Data from Solscan indicates at least three sales transactions exceeding $1 million from wallets believed to be associated with the team, sparking negative reactions from builders within the Solana ecosystem.
• Solana memecoins are gradually becoming saturated and losing momentum.
• Overtaken by emerging rival LetsBonk, in terms of Daily Tokens Deployed.

The critical problem here is that the Pump.fun team itself has publicly criticized such practices before.

In a widely shared March 2024 post, Alon, the founder of Pump.fun—harshly criticized token presales: “Only upside to presales are that they allow you to pocket raised $$$. Conclusion: every pre-sale is a scam.”

During the massive pre-sale of Pumpfun tokens, Pumpfun co-founder Alon’s comments on March 31, 2024 were widely forwarded in the community. He once said: The only upside to presales are that they allow you to pocket raised $$$ and Conclusion: every pre sale is a scam.… pic.twitter.com/iVKxTskV3g

— Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) July 9, 2025

He also emphasized that presales create pressure for short-term performance, lack community engagement, and tend to lack transparency.

However, Pump.fun itself is now conducting an ICO and preparing listings on centralized exchanges (CEXs).

This shift prompts the community to question whether the project is turning away from its initial principles, where everything was transparent, community-driven, and fully on-chain.

In another post dated March 28, 2025, Alon also criticized CEX listings: “Exchange listings are dead; no transparency around listing leads to foulplay and shitty coin selection.”

Instead, he previously advocated building exclusively within on-chain ecosystems with transparent governance and mechanics.

A Sudden Turn Away from Original Values?

Pump.fun initially gained traction due to its strong community culture, opposition to traditional financial mechanisms, and absolute commitment to transparency.

If the team continues down this path ICO, CEX listings, and high FDV followed by significant token sales. They might be dismantling the core values that led to their initial success.

This move could represent a major test of community trust, or indicate Pump.fun leveraging its reputation to execute an “exit” before the market cools down further. If PUMP truly is just a “memecoin for fun,” enjoy it—but remain rational. Don’t expect another DOGE or PEPE as the market continues to stagnate.

For more: Pump.fun’s Token Launch: A New Era or the Final Exit Liquidity?

Details of PUMP TGE Valuation Prediction

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